Bill · H.R. 8076· House(119-HR-8076)
PREDICT Act
- Introduced
- 3/25/2026
- Last activity
- 3/25/2026 — Referred to the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, and in addition to the Committees on House Administration, and the Judiciary, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker, in each case for consideration of such provisions as fall within the jurisdiction of the committee concerned.
- Sponsored by
- Nikki Budzinski
- Cosponsors
- - 13 - 14
- Introduced
- In Committee
What this bill would do
This bill is known as the Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading Act or the PREDICT Act. It stops certain officials from trading on prediction markets regarding specific political events. Covered individuals include Members of Congress, dependent children, spouses, the President, the Vice President, political appointees, and judicial officers. If these individuals violate the trading rules, they must pay fees and give up their profits. The supervising ethics office will publish descriptions of assessed fines, reasons for the fines, and assessment results on a publicly available website.
Yes
Does this make what the government does easier for the public to see?+7
The bill requires ethics offices to publish details of fines and reasons for assessments on a public website.
Does this give people more protection from unfair business practices?+3
The bill increases transparency and prevents potential insider trading by government officials in prediction markets.
The opposite
Would high-income households be better off under this?-4
The bill imposes significant financial penalties and profit disgorgement on high-ranking government officials who participate in prediction markets.
Who it would affect, and how
Potential Positive Impacts for People
-
Holding Officials Accountable: Under Section 2, adding Section 13152, covered individuals like Members of Congress, the President, and the Vice President are prohibited from entering into agreements or transactions dependent on the occurrence of a specific political event, which prevents leaders from profiting off political outcomes.
-
Financial Penalties for Violations: Under Section 2, adding Section 13153(a), violators must pay a fee equal to ten percent of the value of the transaction and disgorge their profits into the Treasury, which ensures that officials face financial consequences for illegal trades.
-
Transparency for the Public: Under Section 2, adding Section 13153(c), each supervising ethics office must publish fines, reasons for the fines, and assessment results on a publicly available website so the public can see when officials break the rules.
Potential Negative Impacts for People
- Burdens on Personal Finances: Under Section 2, adding Section 13153(b), covered individuals are restricted from paying penalties using official allowances, campaign contributions, or non-salary sources, which means they must use their own personal salary to pay these fines.
Groups and Interests Ranking
Every group the model scored this bill for, from -10 to +10. Hover a score for the reason it gave.
- Governance And Ideology
- Improves Government Transparency+7
- Demographic And Interest Groups
- Good For High Income Households-4
- Economy And Finance
- Improves Consumer Protection+3
- 9/21/2026
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- 6/2/2026
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- 5/14/2026
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- 5/13/2026
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- 5/4/2026
- 4 Cosponsors added.
- 4/27/2026
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- 4/22/2026
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- 4/20/2026
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- 4/13/2026
- 6 Cosponsors added.
- 3/26/2026
- 1 Cosponsor added.
- 3/25/2026
- Referred to the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, and in addition to the Committees on House Administration, and the Judiciary, for a period to be subsequently determined by the Speaker, in each case for consideration of such provisions as fall within the jurisdiction of the committee concerned.
- 2 Cosponsors added.
- Introduced in House
Stephanie BiceRepublican · Oklahoma
Ami BeraDemocrat · California
James BairdRepublican · Indiana
Tom BarrettRepublican · Michigan
Christopher DeluzioDemocrat · Pennsylvania
Sharice DavidsDemocrat · Kansas
Virginia FoxxRepublican · North Carolina
Brian FitzpatrickRepublican · Pennsylvania
Valerie FousheeDemocrat · North Carolina
Julie FedorchakRepublican · North Dakota
Al GreenDemocrat · Texas
Marie PerezDemocrat · Washington
Ashley HinsonRepublican · Iowa
John JoyceRepublican · Pennsylvania
Anna Paulina LunaRepublican · Florida
Michael LawlerRepublican · New York
Betty McCollumDemocrat · Minnesota
Blake MooreRepublican · Utah
Mariannette Miller-MeeksRepublican · Iowa
Seth MagazinerDemocrat · Rhode Island
Robert MenendezDemocrat · New Jersey
Eleanor NortonDemocrat · District of Columbia
Chellie PingreeDemocrat · Maine
Adrian SmithRepublican · Nebraska
Greg StantonDemocrat · Arizona
Lori TrahanDemocrat · Massachusetts
Tony WiedRepublican · Wisconsin