Bill · S. 4017· Senate(119-S-4017)
End Prediction Market Corruption Act
- Introduced
- 3/5/2026
- Last activity
- 3/5/2026 — Read twice and referred to the Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry.
- Sponsored by
- Jeff Merkley
- Cosponsors
- - 4 - 0
- Introduced
- In Committee
What this bill would do
The "End Prediction Market Corruption Act" seeks to amend the Commodity Exchange Act to prevent certain government officials from trading event contracts. It prohibits the President, Vice President, and Members of Congress from trading these contracts entirely. Additionally, senior executive branch officials are banned from trading event contracts related to matters they participate in personally and substantially. The bill establishes civil penalties for violations and requires foreign boards of trade to submit quarterly reports on illegal transactions. It also mandates new financial disclosure requirements for covered individuals regarding event contract transactions.
Yes
Does this make what the government does easier for the public to see?+7
The bill mandates new financial disclosure requirements for event contract transactions by high-ranking officials.
Does this give people more protection from unfair business practices?+4
The bill increases transparency and prevents insider trading by government officials in event contracts.
The opposite
Would high-income households be better off under this?-2
The bill restricts the trading activities and financial opportunities of high-ranking government officials.
Who it would affect, and how
Potential Positive Impacts for People
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Prohibition of certain trades by high-ranking officials: The bill stops the President, Vice President, and Members of Congress from purchasing, selling, or exchanging event contracts (Section 2, paragraph (2)(A)).
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Restrictions on senior executive branch officials: It prevents senior executive branch officials from trading event contracts that involve matters they are personally and substantially involved in as a government officer or employee (Section 2, paragraph (2)(B)).
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Increased transparency through disclosure: Covered reporting individuals must now include statements in their annual and termination reports regarding whether they, their spouses, or their dependent children participated in event contract transactions (Section 3, subsection (a)).
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Timely reporting of transactions: The bill requires covered reporting individuals to file reports of event contract transactions within a specific timeframe—not later than 30 days after receiving notification, but no later than 45 days after the transaction (Section 3, subsection (b)).
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Prevention of inappropriate use of information: The Commission is tasked with issuing rules to restrict the use of material nonpublic information to make a profit through event contracts (Section 2, paragraph (5)).
Potential Negative Impacts for People
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Civil penalties for violations: Individuals found to have violated the trading bans may be subject to a civil penalty of up to $10,000 or the amount of profit made from the illegal transaction (Section 2, paragraph (3)(B)).
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Burden on foreign boards of trade: Foreign boards of trade must submit quarterly reports describing illegal transactions, or they face the risk of having their registration revoked by the Commission (Section 2, paragraph (4)(B) and (C)).
Groups and Interests Ranking
Every group the model scored this bill for, from -10 to +10. Hover a score for the reason it gave.
- Governance And Ideology
- Improves Government Transparency+7
- Economy And Finance
- Improves Consumer Protection+4
- Demographic And Interest Groups
- Good For High Income Households-2
- 3/5/2026
- Read twice and referred to the Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry.
- 4 Cosponsors added.
- Introduced in Senate
Kirsten GillibrandDemocrat · New York
Amy KlobucharDemocrat · Minnesota
Adam SchiffDemocrat · California
Chris Van HollenDemocrat · Maryland